Wet spell over Northwest & adjoining Central India, during 03rd-05th February, 2021 and Bihar and Jharkhand 5-6 Feb, with peak activity on 3 and 4 February over Western Himalayan Hills on 4 and 5 February in the plains

Abatement of Cold Wave from Northwest India from 2nd Feb and dense fog, Cold Wave & Cold Day conditions from east Uttar Pradesh and Bihar from 3-4 Feb

Posted On: 02 FEB 2021,Delhi

According to the National Weather Forecasting Centre of the India Meteorological Department (IMD):

Meteorological analysis:

o The Western Disturbance as a cyclonic circulation in lower tropospheric levels lies over Afghanistan with a trough aloft with its axis at middle tropospheric levels running along Long. 60°E to the north of Lat. 32°N.

o An induced cyclonic circulation lies over central Pakistan & adjoining West Rajasthan in lower tropospheric levels.

o These systems are likely to affect weather over northwest Himalayan region from night of 2^nd Feb 2021.

• The confluence of southwesterlies in association with the above Western Disturbance and lower level southeasterlies is very likely over the plains of northwest & adjoining areas of central India during 3-5 February, 2021.

Forecast & Warnings:

o Under the influence of above systems, Scattered to fairly widespread light to moderate rain/snow with isolated thunderstorm, lightning & hail very likely over Western Himalayan region during 2^nd night to 05^th February. Isolated heavy rainfall/snowfall is likely over Jammu & Kashmir on 3^rd & 4^th and over Himachal Pradesh on 4^th Feb.

o Isolated to fairly widespread light to moderate rain/thundershowers with isolated lightning & hailstorm likely over plains of Northwest India during 03rd-05th February, over Madhya Pradesh during 04th-05th February and over East Uttar Pradesh, Bihar and Jharkhand during 05th-06^th February, 2021.

o Gradual rise in Minimum temperatures very likely over most parts of Northwest and adjoining Central India during next 3-4 days and the current spell of Cold Wave conditions prevailing over parts of north west India is likely to abate during next 24 hours from 2 Feb 2021. As the WD likely to move further towards northern parts of Uttar Pradesh-northern parts Bihar, by 4^th Feb, current spell of cold wave, cold day, Dense to Very Dense Fog observed presently at morning at isolated to some pockets over eastern parts of Uttar Pradesh and Bihar also like to be abated/lifted from 3-4 Feb 2021.

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